Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 0.604047 0.684172 0.769411 0.866673 0.974408 1.089914 1.222945
2025-10-12 0.496972 0.611628 0.742288 0.901485 1.089440 1.303487 1.564847
2025-10-19 0.403468 0.537095 0.699483 0.909592 1.172302 1.487841 1.893182
2025-10-26 0.330461 0.473996 0.659291 0.912726 1.246538 1.666998 2.231776
2025-11-02 0.273575 0.421305 0.623188 0.913885 1.315382 1.843158 2.580706
2025-11-09 0.228674 0.376899 0.590661 0.913553 1.379351 2.015771 2.937194
2025-11-16 0.193892 0.340937 0.564043 0.916391 1.445378 2.193886 3.312540
2025-11-23 0.163226 0.305813 0.533083 0.907633 1.491568 2.345305 3.659272
2025-11-30 0.143459 0.284923 0.520755 0.924593 1.575647 2.555303 4.102190
2025-12-07 0.122318 0.257873 0.494373 0.915189 1.616504 2.701995 4.459256
2025-12-14 0.107217 0.239073 0.479072 0.921451 1.681317 2.887757 4.884902
2025-12-21 0.091747 0.216749 0.454326 0.908124 1.711497 3.019603 5.233132
2025-12-28 0.084502 0.209973 0.457543 0.945089 1.830615 3.303455 5.841978
2026-01-04 0.077765 0.203104 0.459648 0.980039 1.948792 3.593068 6.476936
2026-01-11 0.068937 0.190001 0.447711 0.987126 2.017631 3.804136 6.994691
2026-01-18 0.060848 0.177033 0.434220 0.989461 2.077403 4.002654 7.501636
2026-01-25 0.053695 0.164888 0.420730 0.990054 2.133353 4.197057 8.011060
2026-02-01 0.047384 0.153567 0.407405 0.989289 2.186050 4.387968 8.523425
2026-02-08 0.042122 0.143909 0.396439 0.992071 2.245320 4.593331 9.070567
2026-02-15 0.036794 0.132877 0.380653 0.982527 2.278778 4.752542 9.542569
2026-02-22 0.033623 0.127433 0.377549 1.000588 2.369229 5.022085 10.225585
2026-03-01 0.029425 0.117873 0.362800 0.990452 2.400071 5.180027 10.711270
2026-03-08 0.026487 0.111625 0.355642 0.997117 2.466549 5.409354 11.339080